Karl Rove

Karl's Book, Courage and Consequence available at Amazon.com, Barnes & Nobles, and Books-a-Million

Methodology

For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 14 days of the map's release date (all polls earlier than that will drop off). For example, the map published on October 15 does not include any poll earlier than October 1, except if the latest poll in a state was conducted before that date (for example, the most recent poll in Vermont was taken on August 31). States within a three-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as toss-ups; states between a five-to-eight-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as "lean" for that candidate; states outside the eight-point lead are allocated to the respective party. Please note: for some states, the most recent polls available at this time are up to one year old and other states with no polling yet available have been classified Republican or Democrat based on their 2008 results.

Election 2010: State of the Race

While several races could go either way, the final Rove & Co. Senate map of the 2010 election cycle suggests Democrats will hold on to 51 Senate seats, with Republicans winning 49. Republican candidates lead in close races in Colorado, Illinois, and Nevada, while Democrats are ahead in California, Washington, and West Virginia, but the polls are so tight that many of these races could go either way. Murkowski leads in Alaska, but the difficulties of a write-in mean she's likely to receive less support at the ballot box than in the polls. Either way, the winner of the seat will caucus with the GOP.
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